Time series analysis and forecasting of the number of canine rabies confirmed cases in Thailand based on national-level surveillance data.

ABSTRACT:

Introduction

Rabies, a deadly zoonotic viral disease, accounts for over 50,000 fatalities globally each year. This disease predominantly plagues developing nations, with Thailand being no exception. In the current global landscape, concerted efforts are being mobilized to curb human mortalities attributed to animal-transmitted rabies. For strategic allocation and optimization of resources, sophisticated and accurate forecasting of rabies incidents is imperative. This research aims to determine temporal patterns, and seasonal fluctuations, and project the incidence of canine rabies throughout Thailand, using various time series techniques.

Methods

Monthly total laboratory-confirmed rabies cases data from January 2013 to December 2022 (full dataset) were split into the trainin

SUBMITTER: Punyapornwithaya V 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10716232 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature