Dataset Information

Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology?

ABSTRACT: Records of ice-on and ice-off dates are available for lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere spanning decades and in some cases centuries. This data provides an opportunity to investigate the climatic processes that may control ice phenology. Previous studies have reported a trend toward shorter ice-covered seasons with global warming, as well as links between ice phenology and several modes of natural climate variability such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific-North American Pattern, the El Niño-Southern Oscillation, the Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation. The 11-year sunspot cycle has also been proposed as a driver of ice phenology, which is somewhat surprising given that this cycle's strongest impacts are in the stratosphere. In this study, we use a large data set of lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere to test this potential link. We find little or no connection between the sunspot cycle and either ice-on or ice-off dates. We conclude that while many well-known climate cycles do impact ice phenology, we are able to rule out any strong impact of the solar cycle.

SUBMITTER: Schmidt DF

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10718462 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology?

Schmidt Daniel F DF Grise Kevin M KM Pace Michael L ML

PloS one 20231213 12

Records of ice-on and ice-off dates are available for lakes and rivers across the Northern Hemisphere spanning decades and in some cases centuries. This data provides an opportunity to investigate the climatic processes that may control ice phenology. Previous studies have reported a trend toward shorter ice-covered seasons with global warming, as well as links between ice phenology and several modes of natural climate variability such as the North Atlantic Oscillation, the Pacific-North America ...[more]

PMID: 38091313

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Project description:A variety of lakes located in the dry steppe area of southwestern Siberia are exposed to rapid climatic changes, including intra-century cycles with alternating dry and wet phases driven by solar activity. As a result, the salt lakes of that region experience significant fluctuations in water level and salinity, which have an essential impact on the indigenous microbial communities. But there are few microbiological studies that have analyzed this impact, despite its importance for understanding the functioning of regional water ecosystems. This work is a retrospective study aimed at analyzing how solar activity-related changes in hydrological regime affect phototrophic microbial communities using the example of the shallow soda lake Tanatar VI, located in the Kulunda steppe (Altai Region, Russia, southwestern Siberia). The main approach used in this study was the comparison of hydrochemical and microscopic data obtained during annual field work with satellite and solar activity data for the 12-year observation period (2011-2022). The occurrence of 33 morphotypes of cyanobacteria, two key morphotypes of chlorophytes, and four morphotypes of anoxygenic phototrophic bacteria was analyzed due to their easily recognizable morphology. During the study period, the lake surface changed threefold and the salinity changed by more than an order of magnitude, which strongly correlated with the phases of the solar activity cycles. The periods of high (2011-2014; 100-250 g/L), medium (2015-2016; 60 g/L), extremely low (2017-2020; 13-16 g/L), and low (2021-2022; 23-34 g/L) salinity with unique biodiversity of phototrophic communities were distinguished. This study shows that solar activity cycles determine the dynamics of the total salinity of a southwestern Siberian soda lake, which in turn determines the communities and microorganisms that will occur in the lake, ultimately leading to cyclical changes in alternative states of the ecosystem (dynamic stability).

Dataset Information

Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology?

Publications

Does the 11-year solar cycle affect lake and river ice phenology?

Similar Datasets

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