Dataset Information

Lead-Time Bias Confounds Association Between Duration of Untreated Psychosis and Illness Course in Schizophrenia.

ABSTRACT:

Objective

At first hospitalization, a long duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) predicts illness severity and worse treatment outcomes. The mechanism of this association, however, remains unclear. It has been hypothesized that lengthy untreated psychosis is toxic or that it reflects a more severe form of schizophrenia. Alternatively, the association may be an artifact of lead-time bias. These hypotheses are tested in a longitudinal study of schizophrenia with 2,137 observations spanning from childhood to 20 years after first admission.

Methods

Data were from the Suffolk County Mental Health Project. The cohort included 287 individuals with schizophrenia or schizoaffective disorder. DUP was defined as days from first psychotic symptom to first psychiatric hospitalization. Psychosocial function was assessed using the Premorbid Adjustment Scale and the Global Assessment of Functioning Scale. Psychosocial function trajectories were estimated using multilevel spline regression models adjusted for gender, occupational status, race, and antipsychotic medication.

Results

Both long- and short-DUP patients experienced similar declines in psychosocial function, but declines occurred at different times relative to first admission. Long-DUP patients experienced most of these declines prior to first admission, while short-DUP patients experienced declines after first admission. When psychosocial function was analyzed relative to psychosis onset, DUP did not predict illness course.

Conclusions

The association between DUP and psychosocial function may be an artifact of early detection, creating the illusion that early intervention is associated with improved outcomes. In other words, DUP may be better understood as an indicator of illness stage than a predictor of course.

SUBMITTER: Jonas KG

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10754034 | biostudies-literature | 2020 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Lead-Time Bias Confounds Association Between Duration of Untreated Psychosis and Illness Course in Schizophrenia.

Jonas Katherine G KG Fochtmann Laura J LJ Perlman Greg G Tian Yuan Y Kane John M JM Bromet Evelyn J EJ Kotov Roman R

The American journal of psychiatry 20200212 4

<h4>Objective</h4>At first hospitalization, a long duration of untreated psychosis (DUP) predicts illness severity and worse treatment outcomes. The mechanism of this association, however, remains unclear. It has been hypothesized that lengthy untreated psychosis is toxic or that it reflects a more severe form of schizophrenia. Alternatively, the association may be an artifact of lead-time bias. These hypotheses are tested in a longitudinal study of schizophrenia with 2,137 observations spanning ...[more]

PMID: 32046533

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Project description:ImportanceThe possible association between the duration of untreated prodromal symptoms (DUPrS) and cognitive functioning in individuals at clinical high risk (CHR) for psychosis remains underexplored.ObjectiveTo investigate the intricate interplay between DUPrS, cognitive performance, and conversion outcomes, shedding light on the potential role of DUPrS in shaping cognitive trajectories and psychosis risk in individuals at CHR for psychosis.Design, setting, and participantsThis cohort study of individuals at CHR for psychosis was conducted at the Shanghai Mental Health Center in China from January 10, 2016, to December 29, 2021. Participants at CHR for psychosis typically exhibit attenuated positive symptoms; they were identified according to the Structured Interview for Prodromal Syndromes, underwent baseline neuropsychological assessments, and were evaluated at a 3-year clinical follow-up. Data were analyzed from August 25, 2021, to May 10, 2023.ExposureDuration of untreated prodromal symptoms and cognitive impairments in individuals at CHR for psychosis.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary study outcome was conversion to psychosis. The DUPrS was categorized into 3 groups based on percentiles (33rd percentile for short [≤3 months], 34th-66th percentile for median [4-9 months], and 67th-100th percentile for long [≥10 months]). The DUPrS, cognitive variables, and the risk of conversion to psychosis were explored through quantile regression and Cox proportional hazards regression analyses.ResultsThis study included 506 individuals (median age, 19 [IQR, 16-21] years; 53.6% [n = 271] women). The mean (SD) DUPrS was 7.8 (6.857) months, and the median (IQR) was 6 (3-11) months. The short and median DUPrS groups displayed poorer cognitive performance than the long DUPrS group in the Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised (BVMT-R) (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 8.801; P = .01) and Category Fluency Test (CFT) (Kruskal-Wallis χ2 = 6.670; P = .04). Quantile regression analysis revealed positive correlations between DUPrS rank and BVMT-R scores (<90th percentile of DUPrS rank) and CFT scores (within the 20th-70th percentile range of DUPrS rank). Among the 506 participants, 20.8% (95% CI, 17.4%-24.5%) converted to psychosis within 3 years. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis identified lower educational attainment (hazard ratio [HR], 0.912; 95% CI, 0.834-0.998), pronounced negative symptoms (HR, 1.044; 95% CI, 1.005-1.084), and impaired performance on the Neuropsychological Assessment Battery: Mazes (HR, 0.961; 95% CI, 0.924-0.999) and BVMT-R (HR, 0.949; 95% CI, 0.916-0.984) tests as factors associated with conversion.Conclusions and relevanceThe finding of this cohort study suggest the intricate interplay between DUPrS, cognitive performance, and conversion risk in individuals at CHR for psychosis. The findings emphasize the importance of considering both DUPrS and cognitive functioning in assessing the trajectory of these individuals.

Project description:ObjectiveSchizophrenia poses a tremendous health, social, and economic burden upon patients and society, indicating current treatment options remain inadequate. Recent findings from several lines of evidence have pointed to the importance of immune system involvement in not only premorbid neurodevelopmental but also subsequent symptom generation and aging processes of brain change in schizophrenia. In this meta-review, we use the summarized evidence from recent quantitative systematic reviews (SRs) and meta-analyses of several subspecialties to critically evaluate the hypothesis that immune-related processes shape the symptomatic presentation and illness course of schizophrenia, both directly and indirectly through altered neuroplasticity.MethodsWe performed a data search in PubMed for English language SRs and meta-analyses from 2010 to 2017. The methodological quality of the SRs was assessed with the AMSTAR instrument. In addition, we review in this paper 11 original publications on translocator protein (TSPO) positron emission tomography (PET) imaging in schizophrenia.ResultsWe reviewed 26 SRs and meta-analyses. Evidence from clinical observational studies of inflammatory or immunological markers and randomized controlled drug trials of immunomodulatory compounds as add-on in the treatment of schizophrenia suggests psychotic exacerbations are accompanied by immunological changes different from those seen in non-acute states, and that the symptoms of schizophrenia can be modified by compounds such as non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drug and minocycline. Information derived from post-mortem brain tissue analysis and PET neuroimaging studies to evaluate microglial activation have added new perspectives to the available evidence, yet these results are very heterogeneous. Each research domain comes with unique opportunities as well as inherent limitations. A better understanding of the (patho-)physiology of microglial cells and their role in neuroplasticity is key to interpreting the immune-related findings in the context of schizophrenia illness exacerbations and progression.ConclusionEvidence from clinical studies analyzing patients' blood and cerebrospinal fluid samples, neuroimaging and post-mortem brain tissue suggests that aberrant immune responses may define schizophrenia illness' course through altered neuroplasticity representing abnormal aging processes. Most findings are however prone to bias and confounding, and often non-specific to schizophrenia, and a multidisciplinary translational approach is needed to consolidate these findings and link them to other schizophrenia hypotheses.

Project description:ImportanceCognitive deficits constitute core features of schizophrenia, but the trajectories of cognitive difficulties in chronic untreated schizophrenia remain unclear.ObjectiveTo assess the association of neuropsychological deficits with duration of untreated psychosis in individuals with chronic untreated schizophrenia.Design, setting, and participantsCommunity-dwelling individuals with chronic untreated schizophrenia (untreated patient group) and individuals without mental illness (control group) were recruited from predominantly rural communities in Ningxia, China between June 20, 2016, and August 6, 2019, and administered the Structured Clinical Interview for DSM-IV, the Mini-Mental State Examination, an 8-test version of the MATRICS Consensus Cognition Battery adapted for use in individuals with low levels of education, and a measure of social cognition.Main outcomes and measuresComparison of cognitive test scores between the two groups and association of cognitive test scores with duration of untreated schizophrenia.ResultsThe patient group included 197 individuals with chronic untreated schizophrenia (101 men [51.3%]; mean [SD] age, 52.1 [11.8] years; median [interquartile range] years of schooling, 3 [0-6] years; median [interquartile range] years of untreated psychosis, 22.9 [14.9-32.8] years). The control group included 220 individuals (118 men [53.6%]; mean [SD] age, 52.1 [11.2] years; median [interquartile range] years of schooling, 4 [0-6] years). The untreated patient group performed significantly worse than the control group on all cognitive measures (adjusted partial Spearman correlation coefficient [Spearman ρ] ranged from -0.35 for the revised Chinese version of the Reading the Mind in the Eyes Test to -0.60 for the Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised; P < .001 for all comparisons). Longer durations of untreated psychosis were associated with lower performance in 3 MATRICS Consensus Cognition Battery measures assessing different aspects of executive functioning (Brief Visuospatial Memory Test-Revised [ρ = -0.20; P = .04]; Brief Assessment of Cognition in Schizophrenia, Symbol Coding subtest [ρ = -0.35; P < .001]; and Neuropsychological Assessment Battery, Mazes subtest [ρ = -0.24; P = .01]). The median duration of untreated psychosis (22.9 years) was associated with estimated score reductions in the 3 measures of 34% (95% CI, 10%-52%), 43% (95% CI, 28%-55%), and 57% (95% CI, 31%-73%), respectively.Conclusions and relevanceThe findings of this study suggest that long-term untreated schizophrenia was associated with decreases in selective cognitive abilities; both neurodegenerative pathology and neurodevelopmental dysfunction may be factors in cognition in persistent psychosis. Expanding research to include cohorts of patients from underserved rural communities in low- and middle-income countries may provide new insights about the etiological factors, disease course, and management of schizophrenia.

Dataset Information

Lead-Time Bias Confounds Association Between Duration of Untreated Psychosis and Illness Course in Schizophrenia.

Objective

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Lead-Time Bias Confounds Association Between Duration of Untreated Psychosis and Illness Course in Schizophrenia.

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