Predicting the transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus infection in Shanxi province after the implementation of the "Class B infectious disease Class B management" policy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

China managed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) with measures against Class B infectious diseases, instead of Class A infectious diseases, in a major shift of its epidemic response policies. We aimed to generate robust information on the transmission dynamics of novel coronavirus infection in Shanxi, a province located in northern China, after the implementation of the "Class B infectious disease Class B management" policy.

Methods

We consolidated infection data in Shanxi province from December 6, 2022 to January 14, 2023 through a network questionnaire survey and sentinel surveillance. A dynamics model of the SEIQHCVR was developed to track the infection curves and effective reproduction number (Rt).

Results

Our model was effective in estimating the tren

SUBMITTER: Ma Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10768892 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature