Dataset Information

Intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in northern China: a retrospective case-control study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Rupture of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) can cause subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), which leads to severe neurological dysfunction and even death. Exploring the risk factors for IA rupture and taking preventive measures accordingly can reduce or prevent the occurrence of SAH. Currently, there is still no consensus on the detrimental factors for IA rupture. Thus, our study aimed to investigate the risk factors of IA rupture in a population of northern China.

Methods

We systematically collected the demographic features, medical history, and imaging data of aneurysms from patients with ruptured and unruptured IAs (UIAs) who attended the Department of Neurosurgery at the Second Hospital of Hebei Medical University from 2014 to 2019. All cases had been diagnosed by digital subtraction angiography. We excluded patients with SAH resulting from injuries, as well as those with vascular dissection and incomplete data. Finally, 1,214 patients including 616 with ruptured IAs and 598 with UIAs were collected for further analysis. A case-control study was conducted, in which multivariable logistic regression was used to analyze the risk factors for IA rupture.

Results

Our multivariable logistic regression showed that anterior cerebral artery [odds ratio (OR) =2.413; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.235-4.718], anterior communicating artery (OR =3.952; 95% CI: 2.601-6.006), posterior communicating artery (OR =2.385; 95% CI: 1.790-3.177), and anterior circulation branches (OR =3.493; 95% CI: 1.422-8.581) were risk factors for IA rupture, whereas patients with a history of cerebral infarction (OR =0.395; 95% CI: 0.247-0.631) and those with IAs located in the internal carotid artery (OR =0.403; 95% CI: 0.292-0.557) were less likely to have IA rupture.

Conclusions

IAs at specific locations are prone to rupture. These IAs should be paid particular attention and preventive measures should be taken to reduce or prevent their rupture.

SUBMITTER: Wang Y

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10784103 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in northern China: a retrospective case-control study.

Wang Yanyan Y Zhao Lin L Zhang Xiaolin X Zheng Jun J Geng Yanlu Y Huang Boyuan B Chen Teng T Qiang Jing J Liu Bo B Zhang Lihong L Zhang Xiangjian X

Quantitative imaging in medicine and surgery 20231117 1

<h4>Background</h4>Rupture of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) can cause subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH), which leads to severe neurological dysfunction and even death. Exploring the risk factors for IA rupture and taking preventive measures accordingly can reduce or prevent the occurrence of SAH. Currently, there is still no consensus on the detrimental factors for IA rupture. Thus, our study aimed to investigate the risk factors of IA rupture in a population of northern China.<h4>Methods</h4>We syst ...[more]

PMID: 38223032

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Project description:ImportanceUnruptured intracranial aneurysms not undergoing preventive endovascular or neurosurgical treatment are often monitored radiologically to detect aneurysm growth, which is associated with an increase in risk of rupture. However, the absolute risk of aneurysm rupture after detection of growth remains unclear.ObjectiveTo determine the absolute risk of rupture of an aneurysm after detection of growth during follow-up and to develop a prediction model for rupture.Design, setting, and participantsIndividual patient data were obtained from 15 international cohorts. Patients 18 years and older who had follow-up imaging for at least 1 untreated unruptured intracranial aneurysm with growth detected at follow-up imaging and with 1 day or longer of follow-up after growth were included. Fusiform or arteriovenous malformation-related aneurysms were excluded. Of the 5166 eligible patients who had follow-up imaging for intracranial aneurysms, 4827 were excluded because no aneurysm growth was detected, and 27 were excluded because they had less than 1 day follow-up after detection of growth.ExposuresAll included aneurysms had growth, defined as 1 mm or greater increase in 1 direction at follow-up imaging.Main outcomes and measuresThe primary outcome was aneurysm rupture. The absolute risk of rupture was measured with the Kaplan-Meier estimate at 3 time points (6 months, 1 year, and 2 years) after initial growth. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify predictors of rupture after growth detection.ResultsA total of 312 patients were included (223 [71%] were women; mean [SD] age, 61 [12] years) with 329 aneurysms with growth. During 864 aneurysm-years of follow-up, 25 (7.6%) of these aneurysms ruptured. The absolute risk of rupture after growth was 2.9% (95% CI, 0.9-4.9) at 6 months, 4.3% (95% CI, 1.9-6.7) at 1 year, and 6.0% (95% CI, 2.9-9.1) at 2 years. In multivariable analyses, predictors of rupture were size (7 mm or larger hazard ratio, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.4-7.2), shape (irregular hazard ratio, 2.9; 95% CI, 1.3-6.5), and site (middle cerebral artery hazard ratio, 3.6; 95% CI, 0.8-16.3; anterior cerebral artery, posterior communicating artery, or posterior circulation hazard ratio, 2.8; 95% CI, 0.6-13.0). In the triple-S (size, site, shape) prediction model, the 1-year risk of rupture ranged from 2.1% to 10.6%.Conclusion and relevanceWithin 1 year after growth detection, rupture occurred in approximately 1 of 25 aneurysms. The triple-S risk prediction model can be used to estimate absolute risk of rupture for the initial period after detection of growth.

Project description:BACKGROUND:Ruptured aneurysms, the commonest cause of nontraumatic subarachnoid hemorrhage, can be catastrophic; the mortality and morbidity of affected patients being very high. Some risk factors, such as smoking, hypertension and female sex have been identified, whereas others, such as hemodynamics, imaging, and genomics, remain unclear. Currently, no accurate model that includes all factors for predicting such rupture is available. We plan to use data from a large cohort of Chinese individuals to set up a multidimensional model for predicting risk of rupture of unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs). METHODS:The China Intracranial Aneurysm Project-2 (CIAP-2) will comprise screening of a cohort of 500 patients with UIA (From CIAP-1) and focus on hemodynamic factors, high resolution magnetic resonance imaging (HRMRI) findings, genetic factors, and biomarkers. Possible risk factors for rupture of UIA, including genetic factors, biomarkers, HRMRI, and hemodynamic factors, will be analyzed. The first project of the China Intracranial Aneurysm Project (CIAP-1; chaired by the Department of Neurosurgery, Tangdu Hospital, Fourth Military Medical University, Xi'an, Shaanxi, China) will prospectively collect a cohort of 5000 patients with UIA from 20 centers in China, and collect baseline information for each patient. Multidimensional data will be acquired in follow-up assessments. Statistically significant clinical features in the UIA cohort will also be analyzed and integrated into the model for predicting risk of UIA rupture. After the model has been set up, the resultant evidence-based prediction will provide a preliminary theoretical basis for treating aneurysms at high risk of rupture. DISCUSSION:This study will explore the risk of rupture of aneurysms and develop a scientific multidimensional model for predicting rupture of unruptured intracranial aneurysms. Clinical Trials registration A Study on a Multidimensional Prediction Model for Rupture Risk of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms (CIAP-2), NCT03133624. Registered: 16 April 2017. https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03133624.

Project description:The rupture risk of intracranial aneurysms (IAs) is related to their arterial origin, but whether the different segments of the artery have different risks and act as independent risk factors is still unknown. Our study aimed to investigate the rupture risk of IAs in different arterial segments in a large Chinese cohort. Imaging and clinical data of consecutive patients with IAs diagnosed by Computed Tomography angiography (CTA) from January 2013 to December 2022 were collected. Two neuroradiologists independently identified ruptured and unruptured IAs based on imaging and medical records. The internal carotid artery (ICA), middle cerebral artery (MCA), anterior cerebral artery (ACA), vertebral artery (VA), and posterior cerebral artery (PCA) were segmented according to the Bouthillier and Fischer segmentation methods. Stenoses of the proximal parent vessel were evaluated and documented. The Institutional Review Board (IRB) at Beijing Tiantan Hospital approved this retrospective study. A total of 3,837 aneurysms {median size 3.5 mm [interquartile range (IQR) 2.6-5.1 mm]; 532 ruptured} were included in this study from 2,968 patients [mean age: 57 years (IQR 50-64); male patients: 1,153]. Ruptured aneurysms were most commonly located in the posterior inferior cerebellar artery (PICA) (52.9%), anterior communicating artery (ACoA) (33.8%), other locations (33.3%), ACA (22.4%), and basilar artery (BA) (21.4%). The locations with the highest likelihood of rupture were the C7 ICA (21.3%), M2 MCA (24.0%), distal MCA (25.0%), and A2 ACA (28.1%). IAs originating from the C7 (p < 0.001), dM1 (p = 0.022), and dA1 (p = 0.021) segments were independent risk factors for rupture. IAs without stenosis of the proximal parent vessel were associated with a higher risk of rupture (p = 0.023). There are unique associations between the origins of aneurysms from various arterial segments. Aneurysms originating from the anterior communicating artery (ACoA), BA, PICA, A2, dA, C7, and M2 indicate a higher risk of rupture. Aneurysms originating from C4, C5, and C6 indicate a lower risk of rupture. C7 IAs, ACoA IAs, and PICA IAs seem to be independent risk factors.

Dataset Information

Intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in northern China: a retrospective case-control study.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Intracranial aneurysm rupture risk in northern China: a retrospective case-control study.

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