Modelling disease mitigation at mass gatherings: A case study of COVID-19 at the 2022 FIFA World Cup.

ABSTRACT: The 2022 FIFA World Cup was the first major multi-continental sporting Mass Gathering Event (MGE) of the post COVID-19 era to allow foreign spectators. Such large-scale MGEs can potentially lead to outbreaks of infectious disease and contribute to the global dissemination of such pathogens. Here we adapt previous work and create a generalisable model framework for assessing the use of disease control strategies at such events, in terms of reducing infections and hospitalisations. This framework utilises a combination of meta-populations based on clusters of people and their vaccination status, Ordinary Differential Equation integration between fixed time events, and Latin Hypercube sampling. We use the FIFA 2022 World Cup as a case study for this framework (modelling each match as independ

SUBMITTER: Grunnill M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10796029 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature