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Markets as drivers of selection for highly virulent poultry pathogens.


ABSTRACT: Theoretical models have successfully predicted the evolution of poultry pathogen virulence in industrialized farm contexts of broiler chicken populations. Whether there are ecological factors specific to more traditional rural farming that affect virulence is an open question. Within non-industrialized farming networks, live bird markets are known to be hotspots of transmission, but whether they could shift selection pressures on the evolution of poultry pathogen virulence has not been addressed. Here, we revisit predictions for the evolution of virulence for viral poultry pathogens, such as Newcastle's disease virus, Marek's disease virus, and influenza virus, H5N1, using a compartmental model that represents transmission in rural markets. We show that both the higher turnover rate and hi

SUBMITTER: Sheen JK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10799013 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature