Dataset Information

Multidisciplinary-derived clinical score for accurate prediction of long-term mortality in fibrotic lung disease patients.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) stands out as one of the most aggressive forms of interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), currently without a definitive cure. Multidisciplinary discussion (MDD) is now considered a cornerstone in diagnosing and differentiating ILD subtypes. The Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) score, developed to assess IPF prognosis based on sex, age, forced vital capacity, and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO), is limited in not considering dyspnea and functional impairment during the walking test. We proposed a MDD-based clinical score for mortality prediction among those patients.

Methods

From December 2018 to December 2019, we enrolled ILD patients with IPF and non-IPF and followed-up them till December 2020. Based on DLCO, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) Dyspnea Scale, and six-minute walking test (6MWT) distance, a functional score was developed for mortality prediction.

Results

We enrolled 104 ILD patients, 12 (11.5%) died by the one-year follow-up. In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, DLCO (% predicted) was the most accurate variable predicting one-year mortality with an area under curve (AUC) of 0.88 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.80-0.94), followed by mMRC Dyspnea Score (AUC = 0.82 [95% CI = 0.73-0.89]), 6MWT distance (AUC = 0.80 [95% CI = 0.71-0.88]), and GAP score (AUC = 0.77 [95% CI = 0.67-0.84]). Only the GAP score (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.55, 95% CI = 1.03-2.34, p = 0.0.37) and functional score (HR = 3.45, 95% CI = 1.11-10.73, p = 0.032) were significantly associated with one-year mortality in multivariable analysis.

Conclusion

The clinical score composite of DLCO, mMRC Dyspnea Scale, and 6MWT distance could provide an accurate prediction for long-term mortality in ILD patients, laying out a helpful tool for managing and following these patients.

SUBMITTER: Liao YW

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10799536 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Multidisciplinary-derived clinical score for accurate prediction of long-term mortality in fibrotic lung disease patients.

Liao Yu-Wan YW Chen Yi-Ming YM Liu Ming-Cheng MC Wu Yu-Cheng YC Hsu Chiann-Yi CY Fu Pin-Kuei PK Huang Wen-Nan WN Chen Yi-Hsing YH

European journal of medical research 20240120 1

<h4>Background</h4>Idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) stands out as one of the most aggressive forms of interstitial lung diseases (ILDs), currently without a definitive cure. Multidisciplinary discussion (MDD) is now considered a cornerstone in diagnosing and differentiating ILD subtypes. The Gender-Age-Physiology (GAP) score, developed to assess IPF prognosis based on sex, age, forced vital capacity, and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO), is limited in not considering dyspnea and ...[more]

PMID: 38245785

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Project description:BackgroundThe diagnostic process for fibrotic interstitial lung disease (F-ILD) is notably intricate, necessitating a multidisciplinary discussion to achieve consensus based on both clinical and radiological features. This study investigated the shared and distinctive long-term mortality predictors among the two primary phenotypes of F-ILD, namely idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) and connective tissue disease-associated interstitial lung disease (CTD-ILD).MethodsWe included patients with F-ILD diagnosed from December 2018 to December 2019 and conducted follow-up assessments until February 2023. Age, gender, usual interstitial pneumonia (UIP) pattern, gender-age-physiology (GAP) score, modified Medical Research Council (mMRC) dyspnea score, antifibrotic agent use, pulmonary function test parameters, and six-minute walking test (6MWT) parameters were recorded at baseline and used as mortality predictors in a multivariate Cox regression model.ResultsWe enrolled 104 ILD patients. The survival rate of non-IPF patients was more than twice that of IPF patients (78.9% vs. 34%, p < 0.001), and the survival rate of patients with a GAP score of 0-2 was more than twice that of patients with a score of > 2 (93.2% vs. 36.6%, p < 0.001). Older age, male gender, definite UIP pattern, higher GAP score, higher mMRC dyspnea score, lower forced expiratory volume in one second/forced vital capacity (FEV1/FVC), shorter 6MWT distance, and lower initial and final SpO2 were also associated with higher long-term mortality (p < 0.05). In multivariable analysis, only a GAP score of > 2 (hazard ratio [HR]:16.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 3.28-85.14; p = 0.001) and definite UIP pattern (HR: 4.08; 95% CI 1.07-15.5; p = 0.039) were significantly associated with overall mortality.ConclusionThe long-term mortality rate of IPF patients was higher than that of CTD-ILD patients. The GAP score and UIP patterns were significant mortality predictors for both IPF and CTD-ILD patients.

Project description:ImportanceEarly prediction of long-term mortality in status epilepticus is important given the high fatality rate in the years after diagnosis.ObjectiveTo improve prognostication of long-term mortality after status epilepticus diagnosis.Design, settings, and participantsThis retrospective, multicenter, multinational cohort study analyzed adult patients who were diagnosed with and treated for status epilepticus at university hospitals in Odense, Denmark, between January 1, 2008, and December 31, 2017, as well as in Oslo, Norway; Marburg, Germany; and Frankfurt, Germany. They were aged 18 years or older and had first-time, nonanoxic status epilepticus. A new scoring system, called the ACD score, for predicting 2-year (long-term) mortality after hospital discharge for status epilepticus was developed in the Danish cohort and validated in the German and Norwegian cohorts. The ACD score represents age at onset, level of consciousness at admission, and duration of status epilepticus. Data analysis was performed between September 1, 2019, and March 31, 2020.ExposuresLong-term follow-up using data from national and local civil registries in Denmark, Norway, and Germany.Main outcomes and measuresThe predefined end point was 2-year survival for all patients and for a subgroup of patients with status epilepticus causes that were not damaging or were less damaging to the brain. Neurological deficits before and after onset, demographic characteristics, etiological categories of status epilepticus, comorbidities, survival, time points, treatments, and prognostic scores for different measures were assessed.ResultsA total of 261 patients (mean [SD] age, 67.2 [14.8] years; 132 women [50.6%]) were included, of whom 145 patients (mean [SD] age, 66.3 [15.0] years; 78 women [53.8%]) had status epilepticus causes that were not damaging or were less damaging to the brain. The validation cohort comprised patients from Norway (n = 139) and Germany (n = 906). At hospital discharge, 29.8% of patients (n = 64 of 215) had new moderate to severe neurological deficits compared with baseline. New neurological deficits were a major predictor of 2-year survival after hospital discharge (odds ratio, 5.1; 95% CI, 2.2-11.8); this association was independent of etiological category. Nonconvulsive status epilepticus in coma and duration of status epilepticus were associated with development of new neurological deficits, and a simple 3-factor score (ACD score) combining these 2 risk factors with age at onset was developed to estimate survival after status epilepticus diagnosis. The ACD score had a linear correlation with 2-year survival (Pearson r2 = 0.848), especially in the subset of patients with a low likelihood of brain damage.Conclusions and relevanceThis study found that age, long duration, and nonconvulsive type of status epilepticus in coma were associated with the development of new neurological deficits, which were predictors of long-term mortality. Accounting for risk factors for new neurological deficits using the ACD score is a reliable method of prediction of long-term outcome in patients with status epilepticus causes that were not damaging or were less damaging to the brain.

Dataset Information

Multidisciplinary-derived clinical score for accurate prediction of long-term mortality in fibrotic lung disease patients.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusion

Publications

Multidisciplinary-derived clinical score for accurate prediction of long-term mortality in fibrotic lung disease patients.

Similar Datasets

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