In quest of China sports lottery development path to common prosperity in 2035.

ABSTRACT:

Objectives

The China sports lottery contributes to sports and welfare causes. This study aims to construct a macro forecasting model supporting its sustained growth aligned with Vision 2035.

Methods

The modeling employed a distributional regression. Sales data of the China sports lottery from 2011 to 2022 were chosen as the response variable, alongside various macro- and event-level explanatory factors.

Results

A gamma distribution best fit the data. In the stable model spanning 2011-2019, urbanization, population dynamics, and FIFA emerged as significant contributors (Chi-square p < 0.05) to the location shift parameter. These three factors retained their significance in the 2011-2022 shock model, where shock itself notably impacted sales (p < 0.001). Utilizing the s

SUBMITTER: Yao Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10817225 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature