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Dynamic clade transitions and the influence of vaccine rollout on the spatiotemporal circulation of SARS-CoV-2 variants in Sao Paulo, Brazil.


ABSTRACT: Since 2021, the emergence of variants of concern (VOC) has led Brazil to experience record numbers of in COVID-19 cases and deaths. The expanded spread of the SARS-CoV-2 combined with a low vaccination rate has contributed to the emergence of new mutations that may enhance viral fitness, leading to the persistence of the disease. Due to limitations in the real-time genomic monitoring of new variants in some Brazilian states, we aimed to investigate whether genomic surveillance, coupled with epidemiological data and SARS-CoV-2 variants spatiotemporal spread in a smaller region, can reflect the pandemic progression at a national level. Our findings revealed three SARS-CoV-2 variant replacements from 2021 to early 2022, corresponding to the introduction and increase in the frequency of Gamma, Delta, and Omicron variants, as indicated by peaks of the Effective Reproductive Number (Reff). These distinct clade replacements triggered two waves of COVID-19 cases, influenced by the increasing vaccine uptake over time. Our results indicated that the effectiveness of vaccination in preventing new cases during the Delta and Omicron circulations was six and eleven times higher, respectively, than during the period when Gamma was predominant, and it was highly efficient in reducing the number of deaths. Furthermore, we demonstrated that genomic monitoring at a local level can reflect the national trends in the spread and evolution of SARS-CoV-2.

SUBMITTER: Banho CA 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10854302 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Dynamic clade transitions and the influence of vaccine rollout on the spatiotemporal circulation of SARS-CoV-2 variants in São Paulo, Brazil.

Banho Cecília Artico CA   de Carvalho Marques Beatriz B   Sacchetto Lívia L   Sepedro Lima Ana Karoline AK   Pereira Parra Maisa Carla MC   Jeronimo Lima Alex Ranieri AR   Ribeiro Gabriela G   Jorge Martins Antonio A   Dos Santos Barros Claudia Renata CR   Carolina Elias Maria M   Coccuzzo Sampaio Sandra S   Nanev Slavov Svetoslav S   Strazza Rodrigues Evandra E   Vieira Santos Elaine E   Tadeu Covas Dimas D   Kashima Simone S   Augusto Brassaloti Ricardo R   Petry Bruna B   Gaspar Clemente Luan L   Lehmann Coutinho Luiz L   Akemi Assato Patricia P   da Silva da Costa Felipe Allan FA   Souza-Neto Jayme A JA   Maria Tommasini Grotto Rejane R   Daiana Poleti Mirele M   Cristina Chagas Lesbon Jessika J   Chicaroni Mattos Elisangela E   Fukumasu Heidge H   Giovanetti Marta M   Carlos Junior Alcantara Luiz L   Rahal Paula P   Pessoa Araújo João Fernando JF   Althouse Benjamin M BM   Vasilakis Nikos N   Lacerda Nogueira Maurício M  

Research square 20240122


Since 2021, the emergence of variants of concern (VOC) has led Brazil to experience record numbers of in COVID-19 cases and deaths. The expanded spread of the SARS-CoV-2 combined with a low vaccination rate has contributed to the emergence of new mutations that may enhance viral fitness, leading to the persistence of the disease. Due to limitations in the real-time genomic monitoring of new variants in some Brazilian states, we aimed to investigate whether genomic surveillance, coupled with epid  ...[more]

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