Analysing monkeypox epidemic drivers: Policy simulation and multi-index modelling across 39 nations.

ABSTRACT:

Background

This study aimed to analyse the drivers of the monkeypox (Mpox) epidemic and policy simulation to support health care policies against the Mpox epidemic.

Methods

We established a three-round selection mechanism for 164 factors using Lasso and negative binomial regression to investigate the correlation between significant drivers and the cumulative confirmed cases of Mpox. Policy simulation for each driver was evaluated, and the varying effects of implementation at different times were examined.

Results

HIV/AIDS prevalence and air transport passengers carried were significant determinants of the risk of the Mpox epidemic across various countries, with regression coefficients of 1.417 and 0.766, respectively. A decrease in HIV/AIDS prevalence by 10, 20, 30, a

SUBMITTER: Lin M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10859682 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature