Modelling spatiotemporal patterns of visceral leishmaniasis incidence in two endemic states in India using environment, bioclimatic and demographic data, 2013-2022.

ABSTRACT:

Background

As of 2021, the National Kala-azar Elimination Programme (NKAEP) in India has achieved visceral leishmaniasis (VL) elimination (<1 case / 10,000 population/year per block) in 625 of the 633 endemic blocks (subdistricts) in four states. The programme needs to sustain this achievement and target interventions in the remaining blocks to achieve the WHO 2030 target of VL elimination as a public health problem. An effective tool to analyse programme data and predict/ forecast the spatial and temporal trends of VL incidence, elimination threshold, and risk of resurgence will be of use to the programme management at this juncture.

Methodology/principal findings

We employed spatiotemporal models incorporating environment, climatic and demographic factors as covariates to

SUBMITTER: Subramanian S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10868833 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature