Dataset Information

Long-Term Risk of Arterial Thrombosis After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: MUCH-Italy.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The identification of patients surviving an acute intracerebral hemorrhage who are at a long-term risk of arterial thrombosis is a poorly defined, crucial issue for clinicians.

Methods

In the setting of the MUCH-Italy (Multicenter Study on Cerebral Haemorrhage in Italy) prospective observational cohort, we enrolled and followed up consecutive 30-day intracerebral hemorrhage survivors to assess the long-term incidence of arterial thrombotic events, to assess the impact of clinical and radiological variables on the risk of these events, and to develop a tool for estimating such a risk at the individual level. Primary end point was a composite of ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, or other arterial thrombotic events. A point-scoring system was generated by the β-coefficients of the variables independently associated with the long-term risk of arterial thrombosis, and the predictive MUCH score was calculated as the sum of the weighted scores.

Results

Overall, 1729 patients (median follow-up time, 43 months [25th to 75th percentile, 69.0]) qualified for inclusion. Arterial thrombotic events occurred in 169 (9.7%) patients. Male sex, diabetes, hypercholesterolemia, atrial fibrillation, and personal history of coronary artery disease were associated with increased long-term risk of arterial thrombosis, whereas the use of statins and antithrombotic medications after the acute intracerebral hemorrhage was associated with a reduced risk. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of the MUCH score predictive validity was 0.716 (95% CI, 0.56-0.81) for the 0- to 1-year score, 0.672 (95% CI, 0.58-0.73) for the 0- to 5-year score, and 0.744 (95% CI, 0.65-0.81) for the 0- to 10-year score. C statistic for the prediction of events that occur from 0 to 10 years was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.64-0.74).

Conclusions

Intracerebral hemorrhage survivors are at high long-term risk of arterial thrombosis. The MUCH score may serve as a simple tool for risk estimation.

SUBMITTER: Pezzini A

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10896192 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Publications

Long-Term Risk of Arterial Thrombosis After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: MUCH-Italy.

Pezzini Alessandro A Iacoviello Licia L Di Castelnuovo Augusto A Costanzo Simona S Tarantino Barbara B de Gaetano Giovanni G Zedde Marialuisa M Marcheselli Simona S Silvestrelli Giorgio G Ciccone Alfonso A DeLodovici Maria Luisa ML Princiotta Cariddi Lucia L Paciaroni Maurizio M Azzini Cristiano C Padroni Marina M Gamba Massimo M Magoni Mauro M Del Sette Massimo M Tassi Rossana R De Franco Ivo Giuseppe IG Cavallini Anna A Calabrò Rocco Salvatore RS Cappellari Manuel M Giorli Elisa E Giacalone Giacomo G Lodigiani Corrado C Zenorini Mara M Valletta Francesco F Pascarella Rosario R Grisendi Ilaria I Assenza Federica F Napoli Manuela M Moratti Claudio C Acampa Maurizio M Grassi Mario M

Stroke 20240201 3

<h4>Background</h4>The identification of patients surviving an acute intracerebral hemorrhage who are at a long-term risk of arterial thrombosis is a poorly defined, crucial issue for clinicians.<h4>Methods</h4>In the setting of the MUCH-Italy (Multicenter Study on Cerebral Haemorrhage in Italy) prospective observational cohort, we enrolled and followed up consecutive 30-day intracerebral hemorrhage survivors to assess the long-term incidence of arterial thrombotic events, to assess the impact o ...[more]

PMID: 38299371

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Project description:Background and Purpose- The risk of arterial ischemic events after intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH) is poorly understood given the lack of a control group in prior studies. This study aimed to evaluate the risk of acute ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction (MI) among patients with and without ICH. Methods- We performed a retrospective cohort study using claims data from Medicare beneficiaries from 2008 to 2014. Our exposure was acute ICH, identified using validated International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnosis codes. Our primary outcome was a composite of acute ischemic stroke and MI, whereas secondary outcomes were ischemic stroke alone and MI alone. We used Cox regression analysis to compute hazard ratios during 1-month intervals after ICH. Sensitivity analyses entailed exclusion of patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease. Results- Among 1 760 439 Medicare beneficiaries, 5924 had ICH. The 1-year cumulative incidence of an arterial ischemic event was 5.7% (95% CI, 4.8-6.8) in patients with ICH and 1.8% (95% CI, 1.7-1.9) in patients without ICH. After adjusting for potential confounders, the risk of an arterial ischemic event remained significantly increased for the first 6 months after ICH and was especially high in the first month (hazard ratio, 6.7 [95% CI, 5.0-8.6]). In secondary analysis, the risk of ischemic stroke was increased in the first 6 months after ICH (hazard ratio, 6.1 [95% CI, 3.5-9.3]) but the risk of MI was not (hazard ratio, 1.6 [95% CI, 0.3-2.9]). In sensitivity analyses excluding patients with atrial fibrillation and valvular heart disease, the association between ICH and arterial ischemic events was similar to that of the primary analysis. Conclusions- In a large population-based cohort, we found that elderly patients with ICH had a substantially increased risk of ischemic stroke in the first 6 months after diagnosis. Further exploration of this risk is needed to determine optimal secondary prevention strategies for these patients.

Project description:ObjectiveHematoma expansion (HE) is the most important therapeutic target during acute care of patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH). Imaging biomarkers such as non-contrast CT (NCCT) markers have been associated with increasing risk for HE. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the influence of NCCT markers with functional long-term outcome and with HE in patients with deep (basal ganglia and thalamus) ICH who represent an important subgroup of patients at the highest risk for functional deterioration with HE due to the eloquence of the affected brain region.MethodsFrom our prospective institutional database, all patients maximally treated with deep ICH were included and retrospectively analyzed. NCCT markers were recorded at diagnostic imaging, ICH volume characteristics were volumetrically evaluated, and all patients received follow-up imaging within 0-48 h. We explored associations of NCCT makers with unfavorable functional outcome, defined as modified Rankin scale 4-6, after 12 months and with HE. Bias and confounding were addressed by multivariable regression modeling.ResultsIn 322 patients with deep ICH, NCCT markers were distributed as follows: irregular shape: 69.6%, heterogenous density: 55.9%, hypodensities: 52.5%, island sign: 19.3%, black hole sign: 11.5%, and blend sign: 4.7%. Upon multivariable regression analyses, independent associations were documented with the functional outcome for irregular shape (aOR: 2.73, 95%CI: 1.42-5.22, p = 0.002), heterogenous density (aOR: 2.62, 95%CI: 1.40-4.90, p = 0.003) and island sign (aOR: 2.54, 95%CI: 1.05-6.14, p = 0.038), and with HE for heterogenous density (aOR: 5.01, 95%CI: 1.93-13.05, p = 0.001) and hypodensities (aOR: 3.75, 95%CI: 1.63-8.62, p = 0.002).ConclusionNCCT markers are frequent in deep ICH patients and provide important clinical implications. Specifically, markers defined by diverging intra-hematomal densities provided associations with a 5-times higher risk for HE and a 2.5-times higher likelihood for unfavorable functional long-term outcome. Hence, these markers allow the identification of patients with deep ICH at high risk for clinical deterioration due to HE.

Dataset Information

Long-Term Risk of Arterial Thrombosis After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: MUCH-Italy.

Background

Methods

Results

Conclusions

Publications

Long-Term Risk of Arterial Thrombosis After Intracerebral Hemorrhage: MUCH-Italy.

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