Spatial analysis of 10-year predicted risk and incident atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease: the CoLaus cohort.

ABSTRACT: Whether cardiovascular risk scores geographically aggregate and inform on spatial development of atherosclerotic cardiovascular diseases (ASCVD) remains unknown. Our aim is to determine the spatial distribution of 10-year predicted cardiovascular risk and ASCVD, and to compare the overlap of the resulting spatial distributions. Using prospective data from the CoLaus|PsyCoLaus cohort study (2003-2021) we computed SCORE2 in participants free from ASCVD. Geographical distributions of predicted risk and events were determined using the Gi* Getis-Ord autocorrelation statistic. 6203 individuals (54% women, mean age 52.5 ± SD 10.7, ASCVD incidence rate 5.7%) were included. We identified clusters of high versus low predicted risk (4%, 6%, respectively) and ASCVD (5%, 5% respectively) at baseline.

SUBMITTER: Jordan G 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10899582 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature