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Modeling Contraception and Pregnancy in Malawi: A Thanzi La Onse Mathematical Modeling Study.


ABSTRACT: Malawi has high unmet need for contraception with a costed national plan to increase contraception use. Estimating how such investments might impact future population size in Malawi can help policymakers understand effects and value of policies to increase contraception uptake. We developed a new model of contraception and pregnancy using individual-level data capturing complexities of contraception initiation, switching, discontinuation, and failure by contraception method, accounting for differences by individual characteristics. We modeled contraception scale-up via a population campaign to increase initiation of contraception (Pop) and a postpartum family planning intervention (PPFP). We calibrated the model without new interventions to the UN World Population Prospects 2019 medium var

SUBMITTER: Colbourn T 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10941698 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature