Modelling the impact of human behavior using a two-layer Watts-Strogatz network for transmission and control of Mpox.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness of mitigation strategies and analyze the impact of human behavior on the transmission of Mpox. The results can provide guidance to public health authorities on comprehensive prevention and control for the new Mpox virus strain in the Democratic Republic of Congo as of December 2023.

Methods

We develop a two-layer Watts-Strogatz network model. The basic reproduction number is calculated using the next-generation matrix approach. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) optimization algorithm is used to fit Mpox cases in Canada into the network model. Numerical simulations are used to assess the impact of mitigation strategies and human behavior on the final epidemic size.

Results

Our results show that the contact transmissio

SUBMITTER: Jia Q 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10964561 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature