Projecting COVID-19 intensive care admissions for policy advice, the Netherlands, February 2020 to January 2021.

ABSTRACT: BackgroundModel projections of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) incidence help policymakers about decisions to implement or lift control measures. During the pandemic, policymakers in the Netherlands were informed on a weekly basis with short-term projections of COVID-19 intensive care unit (ICU) admissions.AimWe aimed at developing a model on ICU admissions and updating a procedure for informing policymakers.MethodThe projections were produced using an age-structured transmission model. A consistent, incremental update procedure integrating all new surveillance and hospital data was conducted weekly. First, up-to-date estimates for most parameter values were obtained through re-analysis of all data sources. Then, estimates were made for changes in the age-specific contact rates in resp

SUBMITTER: Klinkenberg D 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC10986673 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Mar

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature