Long-term population projections: Scenarios of low or rebounding fertility.
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ABSTRACT:
SUBMITTER: Spears D
PROVIDER: S-EPMC10994275 | biostudies-literature | 2024
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Long-term population projections: Scenarios of low or rebounding fertility.
Spears Dean D Vyas Sangita S Weston Gage G Geruso Michael M
PloS one 20240404 4
The size of the human population is projected to peak in the 21st century. But quantitative projections past 2100 are rare, and none quantify the possibility of a rebound from low fertility to replacement-level fertility. Moreover, the most recent long-term deterministic projections were published a decade ago; since then there has been further global fertility decline. Here we provide updated long-term cohort-component population projections and extend the set of scenarios in the literature to ...[more]
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