Predicting chronological age of 14 or 18 in adolescents: integrating dental assessments with machine learning.
Ontology highlight
ABSTRACT: Aim
Age estimation plays a critical role in personal identification, especially when determining compliance with the age of consent for adolescents. The age of consent refers to the minimum age at which an individual is legally considered capable of providing informed consent for sexual activities. The purpose of this study is to determine whether adolescents meet the age of 14 or 18 by using dental development combined with machine learning.Methods
This study combines dental assessment and machine learning techniques to predict whether adolescents have reached the consent age of 14 or 18. Factors such as the staging of the third molar, the third molar index, and the visibility of the periodontal ligament of the second molar are evaluated.Results
Differences in performance metrics indicate that the posterior probabilities achieved by machine learning exceed 93% for the age of 14 and slightly lower for the age of 18.Conclusion
This study provides valuable insights for forensic identification for adolescents in personal identification, emphasizing the potential to improve the accuracy of age determination within this population by combining traditional methods with machine learning. It underscores the importance of protecting and respecting the dignity of all individuals involved.
SUBMITTER: Shen S
PROVIDER: S-EPMC11005269 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Apr
REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature
Publications
Predicting chronological age of 14 or 18 in adolescents: integrating dental assessments with machine learning.
Shen Shihui S Guo Yibo Y Han Jiaxuan J Sui Meizhi M Zhou Zhuojun Z Tao Jiang J
BMC pediatrics 20240410 1
<h4>Aim</h4>Age estimation plays a critical role in personal identification, especially when determining compliance with the age of consent for adolescents. The age of consent refers to the minimum age at which an individual is legally considered capable of providing informed consent for sexual activities. The purpose of this study is to determine whether adolescents meet the age of 14 or 18 by using dental development combined with machine learning.<h4>Methods</h4>This study combines dental ass ...[more]
Similar Datasets
Project description:Biological age is increasingly recognized as being more accurate than chronological age in determining chronic health outcomes. This study assessed whether biological age, assessed on intensive care unit (ICU) admission, can predict hospital mortality. This retrospective cohort study, conducted in a tertiary multidisciplinary ICU in Western Australia, used the Levine PhenoAge model to estimate each patient's biological age (also called PhenoAge). Each patient's PhenoAge was calibrated to generate a regression residual which was equivalent to biological age unexplained by chronological age in the local context. PhenoAgeAccel was a dichotomized measure of the residuals, and its presence suggested that one was biologically older than the corresponding chronological age. Of the 2950 critically ill adult patients analyzed, 291 died (9.9%) before hospital discharge. Both PhenoAge and its residuals (after regressing on chronological age) had a significantly better ability to differentiate between hospital survivors and non-survivors than chronological age (area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve 0.648 and 0.654 vs. 0.547 respectively). Being phenotypically older than one's chronological age was associated with an increased risk of mortality (PhenoAgeAccel hazard ratio [HR] 1.997, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.568-2.542; p = 0.001) in a dose-related fashion and did not reach a plateau until at least a 20-year gap. This adverse association remained significant (adjusted HR 1.386, 95% CI 1.077-1.784; p = 0.011) after adjusted for severity of acute illness and comorbidities. PhenoAgeAccel was more prevalent among those with pre-existing chronic cardiovascular disease, end-stage renal failure, cirrhosis, immune disease, diabetes mellitus, or those treated with immunosuppressive therapy. Being phenotypically older than one's chronological age was more common among those with comorbidities, and this was associated with an increased risk of mortality in a dose-related fashion in the critically ill that was not fully explained by comorbidities and severity of acute illness.
| S-EPMC10543822 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Epigenetic clock, a highly accurate age estimator based on DNA methylation (DNAm) level, is the basis for predicting mortality/morbidity and elucidating the molecular mechanism of aging, which is of great significance in forensics, justice, and social life. Herein, we integrated machine learning (ML) algorithms to construct blood epigenetic clock in Southern Han Chinese (CHS) for chronological age prediction. The correlation coefficient (r) meta-analyses of 7,084 individuals were firstly implemented to select five genes (ELOVL2, C1orf132, TRIM59, FHL2, and KLF14) from a candidate set of nine age-associated DNAm biomarkers. The DNAm-based profiles of the CHS cohort (240 blood samples differing in age from 1 to 81 years) were generated by the bisulfite targeted amplicon pyrosequencing (BTA-pseq) from 34 cytosine-phosphate-guanine sites (CpGs) of five selected genes, revealing that the methylation levels at different CpGs exhibit population specificity. Furthermore, we established and evaluated four chronological age prediction models using distinct ML algorithms: stepwise regression (SR), support vector regression (SVR-eps and SVR-nu), and random forest regression (RFR). The median absolute deviation (MAD) values increased with chronological age, especially in the 61-81 age category. No apparent gender effect was found in different ML models of the CHS cohort (all p > 0.05). The MAD values were 2.97, 2.22, 2.19, and 1.29 years for SR, SVR-eps, SVR-nu, and RFR in the CHS cohort, respectively. Eventually, compared to the MAD range of the meta cohort (2.53-5.07 years), a promising RFR model (ntree = 500 and mtry = 8) was optimized with an MAD of 1.15 years in the 1-60 age categories of the CHS cohort, which could be regarded as a robust epigenetic clock in blood for age-related issues.
| S-EPMC8819006 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundMachine learning (ML) algorithms play a key role in estimating dental age. In this study, three ML models were used for dental age estimation, based on different preprocessing methods.AimThe seven mandibular teeth on the digital panorama were measured and evaluated according to the Cameriere and the Demirjian method, respectively. Correlation data were used for decision tree (DT), Bayesian ridge regression (BRR), k-nearest neighbors (KNN) models for dental age estimation. An accuracy comparison was made among different methods.Subjects and methodsWe analyzed 748 orthopantomographs (392 males and 356 females) from eastern China between the age of 5 and 13 years in this retrospective study. Three models, DT, BRR, and KNN, were used to estimate the dental age. The data in ML is obtained according to the Cameriere method and the Demirjian method. Coefficient of determination (R2), mean error (ME), root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute error (MAE), the above five metrics were used to evaluate the accuracy of age estimation.ResultsOur experimental results showed that the prediction accuracy of dental age was affected by ML algorithms. MD, MAD, MSE, RMSE of the dental age predicted by ML were significantly decreased. Among all the methods, the KNN model based on the Cameriere method had the highest accuracy (ME = 0.015, MAE = 0.473, MSE = 0.340, RMSE = 0.583, R2 = 0.94).ConclusionThe results show that the prediction accuracy of dental age is influenced by ML algorithms and preprocessing method. The KNN model based on the Cameriere method was able to infer dental age more accurately in a clinical setting.
| S-EPMC9751184 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Determining the discrepancy between chronological and physiological age of patients is central to preventative and personalized care. Electronic medical records (EMR) provide rich information about the patient physiological state, but it is unclear whether such information can be predictive of chronological age. Here we present a deep learning model that uses vital signs and lab tests contained within the EMR of Mount Sinai Health System (MSHS) to predict chronological age. The model is trained on 377,686 EMR from patients of ages 18-85 years old. The discrepancy between the predicted and real chronological age is then used as a proxy to estimate physiological age. Overall, the model can predict the chronological age of patients with a standard deviation error of ∼7 years. The ages of the youngest and oldest patients were more accurately predicted, while patients of ages ranging between 40 and 60 years were the least accurately predicted. Patients with the largest discrepancy between their physiological and chronological age were further inspected. The patients predicted to be significantly older than their chronological age have higher systolic blood pressure, higher cholesterol, damaged liver, and anemia. In contrast, patients predicted to be younger than their chronological age have lower blood pressure and shorter stature among other indicators; both groups display lower weight than the population average. Using information from ∼10,000 patients from the entire cohort who have been also profiled with SNP arrays, genome-wide association study (GWAS) uncovers several novel genetic variants associated with aging. In particular, significant variants were mapped to genes known to be associated with inflammation, hypertension, lipid metabolism, height, and increased lifespan in mice. Several genes with missense mutations were identified as novel candidate aging genes. In conclusion, we demonstrate how EMR data can be used to assess overall health via a scale that is based on deviation from the patient's predicted chronological age.
| S-EPMC5716867 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundRecently, the dental age estimation method developed by Cameriere has been widely recognized and accepted. Although machine learning (ML) methods can improve the accuracy of dental age estimation, no machine learning research exists on the use of the Cameriere dental age estimation method, making this research innovative and meaningful.AimThe purpose of this research is to use 7 lower left permanent teeth and three models [random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and linear regression (LR)] based on the Cameriere method to predict children's dental age, and compare with the Cameriere age estimation.Subjects and methodsThis was a retrospective study that collected and analyzed orthopantomograms of 748 children (356 females and 392 males) aged 5-13 years. Data were randomly divided into training and test datasets in an 80-20% proportion for the ML algorithms. The procedure, starting with randomly creating new training and test datasets, was repeated 20 times. 7 permanent developing teeth on the left mandible (except wisdom teeth) were recorded using the Cameriere method. Then, the traditional Cameriere formula and three models (RF, SVM, and LR) were used to estimate the dental age. The age prediction accuracy was measured by five indicators: the coefficient of determination (R2), mean error (ME), root mean square error (RMSE), mean square error (MSE), and mean absolute error (MAE).ResultsThe research showed that the ML models have better accuracy than the traditional Cameriere formula. The ME, MAE, MSE, and RMSE values of the SVM model (0.004, 0.489, 0.392, and 0.625, respectively) and the RF model (- 0.004, 0.495, 0.389, and 0.623, respectively) were lower with the highest accuracy. In contrast, the ME, MAE, MSE and RMSE of the European Cameriere formula were 0.592, 0.846, 0.755, and 0.869, respectively, and those of the Chinese Cameriere formula were 0.748, 0.812, 0.890 and 0.943, respectively.ConclusionsCompared to the Cameriere formula, ML methods based on the Cameriere's maturation stages were more accurate in estimating dental age. These results support the use of ML algorithms instead of the traditional Cameriere formula.
| S-EPMC8672533 | biostudies-literature
Project description:BackgroundBone age assessment (BAA) is used in numerous pediatric clinical settings as well as in legal settings when entities need an estimate of chronological age (CA) when valid documents are lacking. The latter case presents itself as critical as the law is harsher for adults and granted rights along with imputability changes drastically if the individual is a minor. Traditional BAA methods have drawbacks such as exposure of minors to radiation, they do not consider factors that might affect the bone age, and they mostly focus on a single region. Given the critical scenarios in which BAA can affect the lives of young individuals, it is important to focus on the drawbacks of the traditional methods and investigate the potential of estimating CA through BAA.ObjectiveThis study aims to investigate CA estimation through BAA in young individuals aged 14-21 years with machine learning methods, addressing the drawbacks of research using magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), assessment of multiple regions of interest, and other factors that may affect the bone age.MethodsMRI examinations of the radius, distal tibia, proximal tibia, distal femur, and calcaneus were performed on 465 men and 473 women (aged 14-21 years). Measures of weight and height were taken from the subjects, and a questionnaire was given for additional information (self-assessed Tanner Scale, physical activity level, parents' origin, and type of residence during upbringing). Two pediatric radiologists independently assessed the MRI images to evaluate their stage of bone development (blinded to age, gender, and each other). All the gathered information was used in training machine learning models for CA estimation and minor versus adult classification (threshold of 18 years). Different machine learning methods were investigated.ResultsThe minor versus adult classification produced accuracies of 0.90 and 0.84 for male and female subjects, respectively, with high recalls for the classification of minors. The CA estimation for the 8 age groups (aged 14-21 years) achieved mean absolute errors of 0.95 years and 1.24 years for male and female subjects, respectively. However, for the latter, a lower error occurred only for the ages of 14 and 15 years.ConclusionsThis study investigates CA estimation through BAA using machine learning methods in 2 ways: minor versus adult classification and CA estimation in 8 age groups (aged 14-21 years), while addressing the drawbacks in the research on BAA. The first achieved good results; however, for the second case, the BAA was not precise enough for the classification.
| S-EPMC7536601 | biostudies-literature
Project description:The identification of targets for candidate molecules is a pivotal stride in the drug development journey, encompassing lead discovery, drug repurposing, and the scrutiny of potential off-target or side effects. Consequently, enhancing the precision of target prediction has significant implications. Moreover, current target prediction methods primarily rely on the principle of ligand-based chemical similarity, lacking the capture of novel compound-target relationships based on ligand high-level characterization similarity. Therefore, in this context, we introduce a pioneering algorithm known as the Fused Multiple Biological Signatures (FMBS) strategy. This approach leverages a Bayesian framework to amalgamate 25 predictable biological space characterizations of molecules to predict novel targets through scaffold hopping, thereby improving target prediction accuracy and providing a versatile tool for a wide range of small-molecule target prediction. When juxtaposed with alternative target prediction methods, FMBS showcases notable efficacy, outperforming traditional descriptors. Through an analysis of scaffold hopping cases, we elucidate how FMBS attains heightened accuracy by assimilating comprehensive and complementary high-dimensional signatures, thereby underscoring its potential in unearthing novel compound-target relationships. The findings underscore that our approach adeptly pinpoints promising candidate targets, thereby expediting drug mechanism exploration through the integration of multiple high-level characterizations.
| S-EPMC11333953 | biostudies-literature
Project description:To elucidate the proteomic features of aging in plasma, the subproteome targeted by the SOMAscan assay was profiled in blood samples from 202 females from the TwinsUK cohort. Findings were replicated in 677 independent individuals from the AddNeuroMed, Alzheimer's Research UK, and Dementia Case Registry cohorts. Results were further validated using RNAseq data from whole blood in TwinsUK and the most significant proteins were tested for association with aging-related phenotypes after adjustment for age. Eleven proteins were associated with chronological age and were replicated at protein level in an independent population. These were further investigated at gene expression level in 384 females from the TwinsUK cohort. The two most strongly associated proteins were chordin-like protein 1 (meta-analysis β [SE] = 0.013 [0.001], p = 3.66 × 10(-46)) and pleiotrophin (0.012 [0.005], p = 3.88 × 10(-41)). Chordin-like protein 1 was also significantly correlated with birthweight (0.06 [0.02], p = 0.005) and with the individual Framingham 10-years cardiovascular risk scores in TwinsUK (0.71 [0.18], p = 9.9 × 10(-5)). Pleiotrophin is a secreted growth factor with a plethora of functions in multiple tissues and known to be a marker for cardiovascular risk and osteoporosis. Our study highlights the importance of proteomics to identify some molecular mechanisms involved in human health and aging.
| S-EPMC4469006 | biostudies-literature
Project description:ImportanceAccess to routine dental care prevents advanced dental disease and improves oral and overall health. Identifying individuals at risk of foregoing preventive dental care can direct prevention efforts toward high-risk populations.ObjectiveTo predict foregone preventive dental care among adults overall and in sociodemographic subgroups and to assess the algorithmic fairness.Design, setting, and participantsThis prognostic study was a secondary analyses of longitudinal data from the US Medical Expenditure Panel Survey (MEPS) from 2016 to 2019, each with 2 years of follow-up. Participants included adults aged 18 years and older. Data analysis was performed from December 2022 to June 2023.ExposureA total of 50 predictors, including demographic and socioeconomic characteristics, health conditions, behaviors, and health services use, were assessed.Main outcomes and measuresThe outcome of interest was foregoing preventive dental care, defined as either cleaning, general examination, or an appointment with the dental hygienist, in the past year.ResultsAmong 32 234 participants, the mean (SD) age was 48.5 (18.2) years and 17 386 participants (53.9%) were female; 1935 participants (6.0%) were Asian, 5138 participants (15.9%) were Black, 7681 participants (23.8%) were Hispanic, 16 503 participants (51.2%) were White, and 977 participants (3.0%) identified as other (eg, American Indian and Alaska Native) or multiple racial or ethnic groups. There were 21 083 (65.4%) individuals who missed preventive dental care in the past year. The algorithms demonstrated high performance, achieving an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.84 (95% CI, 0.84-0.85) in the overall population. While the full sample model performed similarly when applied to White individuals and older adults (AUC, 0.88; 95% CI, 0.87-0.90), there was a loss of performance for other subgroups. Removing the subgroup-sensitive predictors (ie, race and ethnicity, age, and income) did not impact model performance. Models stratified by race and ethnicity performed similarly or worse than the full model for all groups, with the lowest performance for individuals who identified as other or multiple racial groups (AUC, 0.76; 95% CI, 0.70-0.81). Previous pattern of dental visits, health care utilization, dental benefits, and sociodemographic characteristics were the highest contributing predictors to the models' performance.Conclusions and relevanceFindings of this prognostic study using cohort data suggest that tree-based ensemble machine learning models could accurately predict adults at risk of foregoing preventive dental care and demonstrated bias against underrepresented sociodemographic groups. These results highlight the importance of evaluating model fairness during development and testing to avoid exacerbating existing biases.
| S-EPMC10625037 | biostudies-literature
Project description:Several approaches have been developed to estimate age, an important aspect of forensics and orthodontics, using different measures and radiological examinations. Here, through meta-analysis, we determined the validity of age estimation methods and reproducibility of bone/dental maturity indices used for age estimation. The PubMed and Google Scholar databases were searched to December 31, 2021 for human cross-sectional studies meeting pre-defined PICOS criteria that simultaneously assessed the reproducibility and validity. Meta-estimates of validity (mean error: estimated age-chronological age) and intra- and inter-observer reproducibility (Cohen's kappa, intraclass correlation coefficient) and their predictive intervals (PI) were calculated using mixed-effect models when heterogeneity was high (I2 > 50%). The literature search identified 433 studies, and 23 met the inclusion criteria. The mean error meta-estimate (mixed effects model) was 0.08 years (95% CI - 0.12; 0.29) in males and 0.09 (95% CI - 0.12; 0.30) in females. The PI of each method spanned zero; of nine reported estimation methods, Cameriere's had the smallest (- 0.82; 0.47) and Haavikko's the largest (- 7.24; 4.57) PI. The reproducibility meta-estimate (fixed effects model) was 0.98 (95% CI 0.97; 1.00) for intra- and 0.99 (95% CI 0.98; 1.00) for inter-observer agreement. All methods were valid but with different levels of precision. The intra- and inter-observer reproducibility was high and homogeneous across studies.
| S-EPMC9481543 | biostudies-literature