Spatial spillovers of violent conflict amplify the impacts of climate variability on malaria risk in sub-Saharan Africa.

ABSTRACT: Africa carries a disproportionately high share of the global malaria burden, accounting for 94% of malaria cases and deaths worldwide in 2019. It is also a politically unstable region and the most vulnerable continent to climate change in recent decades. Knowledge about the modifying impacts of violent conflict on climate-malaria relationships remains limited. Here, we quantify the associations between violent conflict, climate variability, and malaria risk in sub-Saharan Africa using health surveys from 128,326 individuals, historical climate data, and 17,429 recorded violent conflicts from 2006 to 2017. We observe that spatial spillovers of violent conflict (SSVCs) have spatially distant effects on malaria risk. Malaria risk induced by SSVCs within 50 to 100 km from the households gradua

SUBMITTER: Yu Q 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11009658 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Apr

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature