Modeling direct air carbon capture and storage in a 1.5 °C climate future using historical analogs.

ABSTRACT: Limiting the rise in global temperature to 1.5 °C will rely, in part, on technologies to remove CO₂ from the atmosphere. However, many carbon dioxide removal (CDR) technologies are in the early stages of development, and there is limited data to inform predictions of their future adoption. Here, we present an approach to model adoption of early-stage technologies such as CDR and apply it to direct air carbon capture and storage (DACCS). Our approach combines empirical data on historical technology analogs and early adoption indicators to model a range of feasible growth pathways. We use these pathways as inputs to an integrated assessment model (the Global Change Analysis Model, GCAM) and evaluate their effects under an emissions policy to limit end-of-century temperature change

SUBMITTER: Edwards MR 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11098122 | biostudies-literature | 2024 May

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature