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Establishment of a nomogram to predict the overall survival of patients with collecting duct renal cell carcinoma.


ABSTRACT:

Background

Collecting duct carcinoma (CDC) is a rare histological type of renal cell carcinoma that lacks a prognostic prediction model. In this study, we developed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of CDC patients.

Methods

Data for patients (n = 247) diagnosed with CDC from 2004 to 2015 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and the patients were randomized into training (n = 165) and validation (n = 82) cohorts. Survival outcomes were evaluated by the Kaplan-Meier method. Significant variables determined by univariate and multivariate Cox regression analyses were used to construct the nomogram. C-indexes and calibration plots were applied to evaluate the performance of the nomogram.

Results

CDC patients had a median overall survival (OS) of 18.0 months (95% confidence interval: 13.7-22.3); 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS rates were 58.7%, 34.2%, and 29.4%, respectively. Independent prognostic factors, including age at diagnosis, tumor size, tumor grade, T stage, N stage, M stage, and surgery information, were identified by multivariate analysis. The nomogram was constructed based on significant factors in the training cohort. The C-indexes were 0.769 (training cohort) and 0.767 (validation cohort). The calibration curves for survival rates showed that the predicted and observed values were consistent.

Conclusions

This study constructed a nomogram to predict prognosis in patients with CDC. The nomogram performed well in predicting the 1-year, 3-year, and 5-year OS, which can help doctors actively monitor and follow up patients.

SUBMITTER: Jiang W 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11222356 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Establishment of a nomogram to predict the overall survival of patients with collecting duct renal cell carcinoma.

Jiang Weixing W   Zou Zuowei Z   Wen Li L  

Discover oncology 20240704 1


<h4>Background</h4>Collecting duct carcinoma (CDC) is a rare histological type of renal cell carcinoma that lacks a prognostic prediction model. In this study, we developed a nomogram to predict the prognosis of CDC patients.<h4>Methods</h4>Data for patients (n = 247) diagnosed with CDC from 2004 to 2015 were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database, and the patients were randomized into training (n = 165) and validation (n = 82) cohorts. Survival outcomes we  ...[more]

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