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Joint modeling of monocyte HLA-DR expression trajectories predicts 28-day mortality in severe SARS-CoV-2 patients.

ABSTRACT: The recent SarsCov2 pandemic has disrupted healthcare system notably impacting intensive care units (ICU). In severe cases, the immune system is dysregulated, associating signs of hyperinflammation and immunosuppression. In the present work, we investigated, using a joint modeling approach, whether the trajectories of cellular immunological parameters were associated with survival of COVID-19 ICU patients. This study is based on the REA-IMMUNO-COVID cohort including 538 COVID-19 patients admitted to ICU between March 2020 and May 2022. Measurements of monocyte HLA-DR expression (mHLA-DR), counts of neutrophils, of total lymphocytes, and of CD4+ and CD8+ subsets were performed five times during the first month after ICU admission. Univariate joint models combining survival at day 28 (D28), hospital discharge and longitudinal analysis of those biomarkers' kinetics with mixed-effects models were performed prior to the building of a multivariate joint model. We showed that a higher mHLA-DR value was associated with a lower risk of death. Predicted mHLA-DR nadir cutoff value that maximized the Youden index was 5414 Ab/C and led to an AUC = 0.70 confidence interval (95%CI) = [0.65; 0.75] regarding association with D28 mortality while dynamic predictions using mHLA-DR kinetics until D7, D12 and D20 showed AUCs of 0.82 [0.77; 0.87], 0.81 [0.75; 0.87] and 0.84 [0.75; 0.93]. Therefore, the final joint model provided adequate discrimination performances at D28 after collection of biomarker samples until D7, which improved as more samples were collected. After severe COVID-19, decreased mHLA-DR expression is associated with a greater risk of death at D28 independently of usual clinical confounders.

SUBMITTER: Baudemont G

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11247117 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature

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Joint modeling of monocyte HLA-DR expression trajectories predicts 28-day mortality in severe SARS-CoV-2 patients.

Baudemont Gaelle G Tardivon Coralie C Monneret Guillaume G Cour Martin M Rimmelé Thomas T Garnier Lorna L Yonis Hodane H Richard Jean-Christophe JC Coudereau Remy R Gossez Morgane M Wallet Florent F Delignette Marie-Charlotte MC Dailler Frederic F Buisson Marielle M Lukaszewicz Anne-Claire AC Argaud Laurent L Laouenan Cédric C Bertrand Julie J Venet Fabienne F

CPT: pharmacometrics & systems pharmacology 20240605 7

The recent SarsCov2 pandemic has disrupted healthcare system notably impacting intensive care units (ICU). In severe cases, the immune system is dysregulated, associating signs of hyperinflammation and immunosuppression. In the present work, we investigated, using a joint modeling approach, whether the trajectories of cellular immunological parameters were associated with survival of COVID-19 ICU patients. This study is based on the REA-IMMUNO-COVID cohort including 538 COVID-19 patients admitte ...[more]

PMID: 38837680

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Project description:BackgroundInfections cause high mortality in kidney transplant recipients (KTRs). The expressions of neutrophil CD64 (nCD64) and monocyte HLA-DR (mHLA-DR) provide direct evidence of immune status and can be used to evaluate the severity of infection. However, the intensities of nCD64 and mHLA-DR detected by flow cytometry (FCM) are commonly measured by mean fluorescence intensities (MFIs), which are relative values, thus limiting their application. We aimed to standardize nCD64 and mHLA-DR expression using molecules of equivalent soluble fluorochrome (MESF) and to explore their role in immune monitoring for KTRs with infection.MethodsThe study included 50 KTRs diagnosed with infection, 65 immunologically stable KTRs and 26 healthy controls. The blood samples were collected and measured simultaneously by four FCM protocols at different flow cytometers. The MFIs of nCD64 and mHLA-DR were converted into MESF by Phycoerythrin (PE) Fluorescence Quantitation Kit. The intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) and the Bland-Altman plots were used to evaluate the reliability between the four FCM protocols. MESFs of nCD64 and mHLA-DR, nCD64 index and sepsis index (SI) with the TBNK panel were used to evaluate the immune status. Comparisons among multiple groups were performed with ANOVA one-way analysis. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis was performed to diagnose infection or sepsis. Univariate and multivariate logistic analysis examined associations of the immune status with infection.ResultsMESFs of nCD64 and mHLA-DR measured by four protocols had excellent reliability (ICCs 0.993 and 0.957, respectively). The nCD64, CD64 index and SI in infection group were significantly higher than those of stable KTRs group. Patients with sepsis had lower mHLA-DR but higher SI than non-sepsis patients. ROC analysis indicated that nCD64 had the highest area under the curve (AUC) for infection, and that mHLA-DR had the highest AUC for sepsis. Logistic analysis indicated that nCD64 > 3089 and B cells counts were independent risk factors for infection.ConclusionThe standardization of nCD64 and mHLA-DR made it available for widespread application. MESFs of nCD64 and mHLA-DR had good diagnostic performance on infection and sepsis, respectively, which could be promising indicators for immune status of KTRs and contributed to individualized treatment.

Dataset Information

Joint modeling of monocyte HLA-DR expression trajectories predicts 28-day mortality in severe SARS-CoV-2 patients.

Publications

Joint modeling of monocyte HLA-DR expression trajectories predicts 28-day mortality in severe SARS-CoV-2 patients.

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