Predicted Cervical Cancer Prevention: Impact of National HPV Vaccination Program on Young Women in South Korea.

ABSTRACT:

Purpose

This study aimed to evaluate the effectiveness of the national human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination program of South Korea among its entire female population, particularly among younger age groups.

Materials and methods

We first predicted the incidence of cervical cancer over the next 20 years (2021-2040) using the Nordpred package based on Møller's age-period-cohort model under several scenarios for the national HPV vaccination program. We calculated the potential impact fractions and proportional differences under the current national vaccination programs, and alternative scenarios using the no-vaccination assumption as a reference.

Results

We estimated that the current national vaccination program would prevent 4.13% of cervical cancer cases and reduce th

SUBMITTER: Kwak K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11261207 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature