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Antifibrotics and mortality in idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: external validity and avoidance of immortal time bias.


ABSTRACT: Pooled analyses of previous randomized controlled trials reported that antifibrotics improved survival in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF), but the results were only based on short-term outcome data from selected patients who met strict criteria. Observational studies/meta-analyses also suggested that antifibrotics improve survival, but these studies failed to control for immortal time bias that considerably exaggerates drug effects. Therefore, whether antifibrotics truly improve long-term survival in patients with IPF in the real world remains undetermined and requires external validity. We used data from the Japanese National Claims Database to estimate the intention-to-treat effect of antifibrotics on mortality. To address immortal time bias, we employed models treating

SUBMITTER: Hozumi H 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11293013 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Jul

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature