Future burden of myocardial infarction in Australia: impact on health outcomes between 2019 and 2038.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Myocardial infarction (MI) remains a major health burden in Australia. Yet the future burden of MI has not been extensively studied for the Australian population.

Methods and results

A multistate lifetable model was constructed to estimate the lifetime risk of MI and project the health burden of MI for the Australian population aged between 40 and 100 years over a 20-year period (2019-2038). Data for the model were primarily sourced from the Victorian-linked dataset and supplemented with other national data. The lifetime risk of MI at age 40 was estimated as 24.4% for males and 13.2% for females in 2018. From 2019 to 2038, 891 142 Australians were projected to develop incident MI. By 2038, the model estimated there would be 702 226 people with prevalent MI, 51 262

SUBMITTER: Abebe TB 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11307198 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature