Rabies control in Bangladesh and prediction of human rabies cases by 2030: a One Health approach.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Bangladesh is making progress toward achieving zero dog-mediated rabies deaths by 2030, a global goal set in 2015.

Methods

Drawing from multiple datasets, including patient immunisation record books and mass dog vaccination (MDV) databases, we conducted a comprehensive analysis between 2011 and 2023 to understand the effectiveness of rabies control programmes and predict human rabies cases in Bangladesh by 2030 using time-series forecasting models. We also compared rabies virus sequences from GenBank in Bangladesh and other South Asian countries.

Findings

The estimated dog population in Bangladesh was determined to be 1,668,140, with an average dog population density of 12.83 dogs/km² (95% CI 11.14-14.53) and a human-to-dog ratio of 86.70 (95% CI

SUBMITTER: Ghosh S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11321326 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature