Decomposition and scenario analysis of agricultural carbon emissions in Heilongjiang, China.

ABSTRACT:

Background

As a key agricultural region in China, Heilongjiang Province has experienced significant carbon emissions over the past few decades. To understand the underlying factors and future trends in these emissions, a comprehensive analysis was conducted from 1993 to 2030.

Methods

The agricultural carbon emissions from 1993 to 2020 were estimated using the emission factor method. To analyze the influencing factors and future trends of these emissions, the study employed the Logarithmic Mean Divisia Index (LMDI) and integrated it with the Stochastic Impacts by Regression on Population, Affluence, and Technology (STIRPAT) model.

Results

Results showed that (1) the agricultural carbon emissions in Heilongjiang were primarily driven by rice cultivation, followed by fer

SUBMITTER: Zhang L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11326430 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature