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Computational models for improving surveillance for the early detection of direct introduction of cassava brown streak disease in Nigeria.


ABSTRACT: Cassava is a key source of calories for smallholder farmers in sub-Saharan Africa but its role as a food security crop is threatened by the cross-continental spread of cassava brown streak disease (CBSD) that causes high yield losses. In order to mitigate the impact of CBSD, it is important to minimise the delay in first detection of CBSD after introduction to a new country or state so that interventions can be deployed more effectively. Using a computational model that combines simulations of CBSD spread at both the landscape and field scales, we model the effectiveness of different country level survey strategies in Nigeria when CBSD is directly introduced. We find that the main limitation to the rapid CBSD detection in Nigeria, using the current survey strategy, is that an insufficient

SUBMITTER: Ferris AC 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11338456 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature