Expectations of and perceived need for civil war in the USA: findings from a 2023 nationally representative survey.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Surveys have found concerningly high levels of agreement that the United States will experience civil war soon. This study assesses variation in expectation of and perceived need for civil war with respondent sociopolitical characteristics, beliefs, firearm ownership, and willingness to engage in political violence.

Methods

Findings are from Wave 2 of a nationally representative annual longitudinal survey of members of the Ipsos KnowledgePanel, conducted May 18-June 8, 2023. All respondents to 2022's Wave 1 who remained in KnowledgePanel were invited to participate. Outcomes are expressed as weighted proportions and adjusted prevalence differences, with p-values adjusted for the false discovery rate and reported as q-values.

Results

The completion rate was

SUBMITTER: Wintemute GJ 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11360528 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature