Forecasting Informal care needs of the urban-rural older adults in China based on microsimulation model.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Forecasting the intensity, source, and cost of informal care for older adults in China is essential to establish and enhance policy support systems for informal care within the context of East Asian traditional culture that emphasizes filial piety. This study aims to analyze the current situation and influencing factors for the informal care needs and predict the trends of informal care needs for older adults in China from 2020 to 2040.

Methods

Using the CHARLS database from 2015 to 2018, this study first combined a two-part model and a multinomial logit to analyze the influencing factors for the informal care needs of urban-rural older adults in China. Secondly, a multi-state Markov model was constructed to forecast the number of urban-rural older populations in

SUBMITTER: Zhang L 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11361115 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Aug

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature