Monitoring Progress Towards the Elimination of Hepatitis C as a Public Health Threat in Norway: A Modelling Study Among People Who Inject Drugs and Immigrants.

ABSTRACT:

Background

The global incidence target for the elimination of hepatitis C among people who inject drugs (PWID) is <2/100. In Norway, the hepatitis C epidemic is concentrated in PWID. Immigrants are the second most important risk group for chronic infection. We modelled the incidence of hepatitis C among active PWID, and the prevalence of chronic infection among active PWID, ex-PWID, and immigrants in Norway to 2022.

Methods

We built a stochastic compartmental model, which was informed using data from national data sources, literature, and expert opinion. We report median values with 95% credible intervals (CrI).

Results

The model estimated 30 (95% Crl, 13-52) new infections among active PWID in 2022, or 0.37/100 (95% Crl, 0.17-0.65), down from a peak of 726 (95% Crl,

SUBMITTER: Whittaker R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11420790 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Sep

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature