How likely are Eastern European and central Asian countries to achieve global NCD targets: multi-country analysis.

ABSTRACT:

Background

In Europe, mortality rates from noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) among persons 30-69 years of age ("NCD premature mortality rates") have declined significantly, except in twelve countries of Eastern Europe and Central Asia, namely Armenia, Azerbaijan, Belarus, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Russia, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, Ukraine and Uzbekistan. Data on long-term trends in NCD mortality in these countries are limited. We analyzed NCD premature mortality rates, identified change points in NCD mortality trends and forecasted how likely countries are to achieve the global NCD targets, stratified by gender and NCD type.

Methods

We used the 1990-2019 Global Burden of Disease database to analyze NCD trends and identified country-specific change points by usi

SUBMITTER: Dumcheva A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11452959 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature