Estimating dynamics of dengue disease in Colombo district of Sri Lanka with environmental impact by quantifying the per-capita vector density.

ABSTRACT: Dengue is a vector-borne disease transmitted to humans by vectors of genus Aedes causing a global threat to health, social, and economic sectors in many of the tropical countries including Sri Lanka. In Sri Lanka, the tropical climate, marked by seasonal weather primarily influenced by monsoons, fosters optimal conditions for the virus to spread efficiently. This heightened transmission results in increased per-capita vector density. In this work, we investigate the dynamic influence of environmental conditions on dengue emergence in Colombo district - the geographical region with the highest recorded dengue threat in Sri Lanka. An iterative approach is employed to dynamically estimate dengue cases leveraging the Markov chain Monte Carlo simulations, utilizing the dynamics of four seasons

SUBMITTER: Chathurangika P 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11491478 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature