Future climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields, production, and market.

ABSTRACT: This study provides estimates of climate change impacts on U.S. agricultural yields and the agricultural economy through the end of the 21st century, utilizing multiple climate scenarios. Results from a process-based crop model project future increases in wheat, grassland, and soybean yield due to climate change and atmospheric CO₂ change; corn and sorghum show more muted responses. Results using yields from econometric models show less positive results. Both the econometric and process-based models tend to show more positive yields by the end of the century than several other similar studies. Using the process-based model to provide future yield estimates to an integrated agricultural sector model, the welfare gain is roughly $16B/year (2019 USD) for domestic producers and $6.2

SUBMITTER: Fei C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11492982 | biostudies-literature | 2023

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature