Global Trend in Pancreatic Cancer Prevalence Rates Through 2040: An Illness-Death Modeling Study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Despite remarkable progress in contemporary medical technology and enhanced survival outcomes for various cancer types, pancreatic cancer (PC) continues to stand out as a particularly deadly gastrointestinal malignancy. Given a persistent rise in both incidence and the corresponding mortality rates of PC globally, evaluations of PC burden by sex are of great importance. Here, we used the illness-death multi-state model (IDM) to forecast the prevalence of PC through the year 2040.

Methods

IDM was established based on obtainable data to predict the future prevalence of PC on global, regional, and national scales from 2019 to 2040. Analyses were also performed regarding sex and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) are presented for all estimates.

Results

The project

SUBMITTER: Hesami Z 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11497012 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature