Assessing the reliability of medical resource demand models in the context of COVID-19.

ABSTRACT:

Background

Numerous medical resource demand models have been created as tools for governments or hospitals, aiming to predict the need for crucial resources like ventilators, hospital beds, personal protective equipment (PPE), and diagnostic kits during crises such as the COVID-19 pandemic. However, the reliability of these demand models remains uncertain.

Methods

Demand models typically consist of two main components: hospital use epidemiological models that predict hospitalizations or daily admissions, and a demand calculator that translates the outputs of the epidemiological model into predictions for resource usage. We conducted separate analyses to evaluate each of these components. In the first analysis, we validated various hospital use epidemiological models using a

SUBMITTER: Dautel K 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11529025 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Oct

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature