Global burden of inflammatory bowel disease in the elderly: trends from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2051.

ABSTRACT:

Background

This study aims to analyze the historical trends of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) burden in the elderly from 1990 to 2021 and forecast future trends up to 2051.

Methods

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 were utilized. Age-standardized rates (ASR) for incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were calculated. Estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs) were computed to quantify temporal trends. A Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort model was employed to project future trends.

Results

From 1990 to 2021, the global number of elderly IBD increased from 573,500 to 1,278,190. The age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) rose from 8.01 to 8.77 per 100,000, while the age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) slightly decreas

SUBMITTER: Liu Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11540814 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature