Gambling habits and Probability Judgements in a Bayesian Task Environment.

ABSTRACT: Little is known about how gamblers form probability assessments. This paper reports on a preregistered study that administered an incentivized Bayesian choice task to n = 465 self-reported gamblers and non-gamblers. The task elicits subjective probability assessments and allows one to estimate the degree to which distinct information sources are weighted in forming probability assessments. Our data failed to support our main hypotheses that experienced online gamblers would be more accurate than non-gamblers in estimating probabilities, that gamblers experienced in games of skill (e.g., poker) would be more accurate than gamblers experienced only in non-skill games (e.g., slots), that accuracy would differ by sex, or that information sources would be weighted differently across different p

SUBMITTER: Dickinson DL 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11557619 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature