Verification of operational numerical weather prediction model forecasts of precipitation using satellite rainfall estimates over Africa.

ABSTRACT: Rainfall is an important variable to be able to monitor and forecast across Africa, due to its impact on agriculture, food security, climate-related diseases and public health. Numerical weather models (NWMs) are an important component of this work, due to their complete spatial coverage, high resolution and ability to forecast into the future. In this study, the spatio-temporal skill of short-term forecasts of rainfall across Africa from 2016 through 2018 is evaluated. Specifically, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and the National Centers for Environmental Prediction-Global Forecast System (NCEP-GFS) forecast models are verified by Rainfall Estimates 2.0 (RFE2) and African Rainfall Climatology Version 2 (ARC2), which are fused products of satellite and in si

SUBMITTER: Wang Y 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11568113 | biostudies-literature | 2023 Jan-Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature