Spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for overshoot pathways.

ABSTRACT: Due to insufficient climate action over the past decade, it is increasingly likely that 1.5 °C of global warming will be exceeded - at least temporarily - in the 21^st century. Such a temporary temperature overshoot carries additional climate risks which are poorly understood. Earth System Model climate projections are only available for a very limited number of overshoot pathways, thereby preventing comprehensive analysis of their impacts. Here, we address this issue by presenting a novel dataset of spatially resolved emulated annual temperature projections for different overshoot pathways. The dataset was created using the FaIR and MESMER emulators. First, FaIR was employed to translate ten different emission scenarios, including seven that are characterised by overshoot, into

SUBMITTER: Schwaab J 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11582622 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Nov

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature