In hot water: Uncertainties in projecting marine heatwaves impacts on seagrass meadows.

ABSTRACT: Seagrass ecosystems, vital as primary producer habitats for maintaining high biodiversity and delivering numerous ecosystem services, face increasing threats from climate change, particularly marine heatwaves. This study introduces a pioneering methodology that integrates Dynamic Bayesian Networks of ecosystem resilience with climate projections, aiming to enhance our understanding of seagrass responses to extreme climate events. We developed cutting-edge metrics for measuring shoot density and biomass in terms of population and site extinction, presented as annual ratios relative to their respective baselines. These metrics include associated uncertainties and projected recovery times. This innovative approach was applied in a case study focusing on Zostera muelleri in Gladstone Harbour,

SUBMITTER: Hatum PS 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11602073 | biostudies-literature | 2024

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature