Endemic-epidemic modelling of school closure to prevent spread of COVID-19 in Switzerland.

ABSTRACT: The goal of this work was to quantify the effect of school closure during the first year of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic in Switzerland. This allowed us to determine the usefulness of school closures as a pandemic countermeasure for emerging coronaviruses in the absence of pharmaceutical interventions. The use of multivariate endemic-epidemic modelling enabled us to analyse disease spread between age groups which we believe is a necessary inclusion in any model seeking to achieve our goal. Sophisticated time-varying contact matrices encapsulating four different contact settings were included in our complex statistical modelling approach to reflect the amount of school closure in place on a given day. Using the model, we projected case counts under various transmission scena

SUBMITTER: Bekker-Nielsen Dunbar M 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11610105 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature