Designing a sector-coupled European energy system robust to 60 years of historical weather data.

ABSTRACT: As energy systems transform to rely on renewable energy and electrification to mitigate climate change, they encounter stronger year-to-year variability in energy supply and demand. Yet, most infrastructure planning relies on a single weather year, risking a potential lack of robustness. In this paper, we optimize capacity layouts for a European energy system under net-zero CO₂ emissions for 62 different weather years. Subsequently, we fix the layouts and optimize their operation in every other weather year to assess resource adequacy and CO₂ emissions. Our analysis shows a variation of  ± 10% in total system costs across weather years. Layouts designed for years with compound weather events prove more robust, achieving resource adequacy of 99.9% and net-negative CO

SUBMITTER: Gotske EK 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11649796 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature