A framework for modelling desert locust population dynamics and large-scale dispersal.

ABSTRACT: There is an urgent need for mathematical models that can be used to inform the deployment of surveillance, early warning and management systems for transboundary pest invasions. This is especially important for desert locust, one of the most dangerous migratory pests for smallholder farmers. During periods of desert locust upsurges and plagues, gregarious adult locusts form into swarms that are capable of long-range dispersal. Here we introduce a novel integrated modelling framework for use in predicting gregarious locust populations. The framework integrates the selection of breeding sites, maturation through egg, hopper and adult stages and swarm dispersal in search of areas suitable for feeding and breeding. Using a combination of concepts from epidemiological modelling, weather and env

SUBMITTER: Retkute R 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11658591 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature