Impact of solar geoengineering on temperature-attributable mortality.

ABSTRACT: Decisions about solar geoengineering (SG) entail risk-risk tradeoffs between the direct risks of SG and SG's ability to reduce climate risks. Quantitative comparisons between these risks are needed to inform public policy. We evaluate idealized SG's effectiveness in reducing deaths from warming using two climate models and an econometric analysis of temperature-attributable mortality. We find SG's impact on temperature-attributable mortality is uneven with decreases for hotter, poorer regions and increases in cooler, richer regions. Relative to no SG, global mortality is reduced by over 400,000 deaths annually [90% CI: (-1.2 million,2.7 million)] for cooling of 1 °C from 2.5 °C above preindustrial in 2080. We find no evidence that mortality reduction achieved by SG is smaller than the redu

SUBMITTER: Harding A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11670211 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature