Tephra fallout hazard assessment for a hydrovolcanic eruptive scenario in Mayotte.

ABSTRACT: The new submarine volcano Fani Maoré offshore Mayotte (Comoros archipelago) discovered in 2019 has raised the awareness of a possible future eruption in Petite-Terre island, located on the same 60 km-long volcanic chain. In this context of a renewal of the volcanic activity, we present here the first volcanic hazard assessment in Mayotte, focusing on the potential reactivation of the Petite-Terre eruptive centers. Using the 2-D tephra dispersal model HAZMAP and the 1979 - 2021 meteorological ERA-5 database, we first identify single eruptive scenarios of various impacts for the population of Mayotte. Even when considering the least impacting scenario, we show that ~ 30,000 people could be threatened by a future explosive eruption in the highly densely populated island of Petite-Terre. We th

SUBMITTER: Michaud-Dubuy A 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11686065 | biostudies-literature | 2024 Dec

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature