Decarceration and COVID-19 infections in U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement detention facilities: a simulation modeling study.

ABSTRACT:

Background

U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) facilities had high rates of COVID-19 infections and mortality during the global pandemic. We sought to quantify how many COVID-19 infections could have been averted through different decarceration strategies.

Methods

We developed a set of stochastic simulation models of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in ICE facilities. Employing incremental mixture importance sampling (IMIS), we calibrated them to empirical targets derived from publicly available case time series for ICE facilities, and publicly available facility population censuses prior to vaccine availability (May 6, 2020 to December 31, 2020). The models included infection importation from extra-facility sources. We evaluated reduction of the incarcerated population by

SUBMITTER: Weyant C 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11741939 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Feb

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature