Future food prices will become less sensitive to agricultural market prices and mitigation costs.

ABSTRACT: Agricultural production costs represent less than half of total food prices for higher-income countries and will likely further decrease globally. Added-value components such as transport, processing, marketing and catering show increasing importance in food value chains, especially as countries undergo a nutrition transition towards more complex and industrial food systems. Here, using a combined statistical and process-based modelling framework, we derive and project the value-added component of food prices for 136 countries and 11 different food groups, for food-at-home and food-away-from-home. We identify the declining but differentiated producer share in consumer food prices across food products, and provide scenarios of future consumer prices under a business-as-usual as well as clim

SUBMITTER: Chen DM 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11772223 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature