Prediction and control for the transmission of brucellosis in inner Mongolia, China.

ABSTRACT: Brucellosis, a zoonotic infectious disease caused by the Brucella genus, remains a significant global public health concern, with Inner Mongolia, China, being a notable hotspot affecting both human health and livestock. In response to this, we developed a dynamic SEIVWS_hI_ahI_ch model to simulate the transmission of brucellosis in Inner Mongolia. We calculated the basic reproduction number (R₀ = 2.86), indicating a severe epidemic trend with cases expected to increase over the coming decades. The model was fitted to human brucellosis data, and key transmission parameters were estimated to predict future trends. We also evaluated the impact of various control measures, including vaccination, disinfection, culling, and health education. While these m

SUBMITTER: Liu S 

PROVIDER: S-EPMC11775140 | biostudies-literature | 2025 Jan

REPOSITORIES: biostudies-literature